Election campaign for the presidential elections in United States of America Next year has already begun. You Republicans Divided to see who will be able to defeat the current president’s party, Joe Bidenwhich does not obtain sufficient approval to be unanimous even in his own party.
Could Biden lose the election?
The latest surveys by Rasmussen Reports and The Economist show just that Biden loses trump and Ron DeSantis with some leeway in the popular vote.
Biden accumulates a preference of only 36% of self-declared Democratic voters to run in 2024. Polls show that Kamala HarrisBernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Amy Klobuchar, Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez and Elizabeth Warren together account for 46% of the preference Blues For the 2024 candidacy. Data has been averaged by RealClearPolitics, which compiles major election polls conducted in the country in recent months.
Officially, there are three candidates uniting Biden: Are they Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Nephew of former President John F. Kennedy and anti-vaccine activist, writer and environmental activist Marian Williamson. None of them are really competitive.
Biden was not a popular figure in his party in 2020 when he won, in a tight race with him Bernie Sanders, the primaries for that year. In March 2020, the incumbent made a deal with Harris, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, and Corey Booker to suddenly withdraw their nominations before Super Tuesday, causing defeat for Sanders and most of the left-wing sectors of the Democratic Party.
Biden had a relatively high popularity rating until mid-2021 thanks to his expansionary economic policy in the face of COVID-19. After that, the president began to have problems with the same American media, which criticized him after the withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan.
Currently, 53% of voters disapprove of it and it has 46% approval. Trump had similar disapproval rates before losing the 2020 election.
Will Trump win?
Before you were the official Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump He must win the party primaries and conquer a portion of the electorate he lost in the last eight years.
Last Tuesday (4), Donald Trump was accused of bribery Stormy Daniels and for forging business documents in a New York court.
Contrary to what political analysts expected, Trump rose in the polls after the indictment, opening up an advantage over his main rival, Ron DeSantis.
Ron DeSantis He is the governor of Florida. Although he has not officially launched his 2024 campaign, he is seen as the main challenger to Trump and has a 21% share in the primary, according to a recent Ipsos report.
His main strength is that he is a more “moderate” Republican than Trump. DeSantis She has a strong base in Florida’s Hispanic community, and has an appeal for the passage of anti-abortion and anti-LGBT laws in Florida. fl. In addition, he has support from the traditional sectors of the Republican Party.
Outside ran Nikki Haley – former governor of South Carolina – Mike Pence – former governor of Indiana and Trump’s vice president in his last term – and Liz Cheney – Wyoming representative and wife of Dick Cheney, who was vice president. President during the Bush administration.
Trump leads the polls by an average of 27%, according to the RCP. According to Ipsos, Trump’s lead has reached 39% following the former president’s indictment in New York.
What is the timeline for the 2024 US elections?
primaries for the Republican Party It starts in February and ends in June 2024, but the campaign has already started and is supposed to ramp up in the coming months.
primaries for Democratic Party begin and end in the same period. It is likely that they will have an outcome already set on March 5, when the famous Super Tuesday takes place.
In July, the two parties confirmed the results of the primaries through party conventions and the start of the official US presidential campaign. On November 5, the general election for the presidency of the United States took place.
